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If Daly Doesn’t File Today, Convention Paved Way for Gonzalez

by Paul Hogarth, Beyond Chron (reposted)

The Progressive Convention on June 2nd ended with no serious candidate declaring that they will run against Gavin Newsom. Much to the chagrin of many attendees, Ross Mirkarimi adamantly stated that this year is “not my time,” and he will focus on the Board of Supervisors. But Chris Daly never said that he was not running, as he told me right after his speech: “I promised a candidate from this Convention.” Daly added that he can't take out papers until 9:00 a.m. today, and that he will discuss it with his family over the weekend. But with his wife expecting a baby one week before the Election, is it likely to happen?

If Daly doesn’t file today, the Convention paved the way for Matt Gonzalez to run. “My whole idea of emerging as a candidate,” said Gonzalez, “was if no candidate emerged from the Convention.” Gonzalez did not attend Saturday’s Convention and had said that he did not want to be considered at the time. Many activists are upset with Gonzalez for not showing up, but practically everyone I talked to said they would support him anyway. Gonzalez is still non-committal about running, but if he runs it will be a serious effort to win. And a winning campaign, said Gonzalez, requires a much bigger tent than the 300-odd people who showed up at the Convention.

“I’m not impressed with the Mayor,” said Gonzalez in a phone interview yesterday, “and I feel that he should be beat. But it takes a lot of work to run for Mayor. Newsom has made a lot of inroads in the progressive community, so you can’t just run a candidate and expect to get 70% of the vote in the Mission. A winning campaign would have to meet with voters on the West Side and pick up support over there.” While the Convention brought a lot of energy from activists who cut their teeth in progressive campaigns, the whole structure of it and how it was framed – “Chris Daly’s Convention” – was not a winning formula.

More
http://www.beyondchron.org/news/index.php?itemid=4578#more
§Progressives Need Showmanship
by Beyond Chron (reposted)
On the morning after the day-long Progressive Convention ended without a leftist candidate to oppose incumbent Gavin Newsom in his re-election bid, political columnists Matier and Ross -- the mayor’s PR team at the SF Chronicle -- explained why they think the golden boy is unseatable.


According to the journalistic duo, Gavin’s job approval rating is still sky high. 62% of San Franciscans feel that the city is “on the right track,” despite obvious problems, such as homelessness and the lack of affordable housing; and Newsom’s already got a campaign war chest of over $1 million.

M&R don’t quite have it right. What makes Newsom seemingly undefeatable is not just the numbers, it’s also his showmanship. The constant Barnum and Bailey routine. The greatest show on earth is not some elephant trotting around in a tutu and a funny hat, it’s Care Not Cash, gay marriage and Project Homeless Connect. That’s the way Newsom keeps the masses thinking everything is hunky-dory. When he’s not “ending” homelessness by taking a small percentage of the unhoused (those on general assistance) off the streets, Gavin’s issuing marriage licenses to queers in defiance of state law or washing the feet of a homeless man at one of his regular Project Homeless Connect gatherings. Reliable sources tell us that feeding the hungry with five loaves of bread and two fish is next on his messianic agenda.

More
http://www.beyondchron.org/news/index.php?itemid=4577#more
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by ddsa
He wasn't able to pull it off last time and he's a much weaker candidate now than he was then (while Newsom is a much stronger candidate).


by how Newsom can win
I think Gonzalez had the votes and probably won the last election. It is well known that he got more votes on election day. Newsom won by a small margin-- with absentee votes. There was much pressure on the Election Department that year because it was notorious for its foul-ups. Think it was totally cleaned up? Think again.

After the election, it was shown that city workers were canvassing for Newsom-- but as usual, the establishment media paid only a cursory attention and did not have the heart, courage, or integrity to dig deeper to see if worse corruption was involved. Vested interests-- the same interests that allowed Newsom to outspend Gonzalez ten to one-- had every interest in making believe that "the system" worked.

Newsom's popularity is also an illusion fostered by those who have a vested interest in holding on to the city's current status quo which favors the most financially well-off.

After 4 years, Newsom has shown his mettle: rather than immediately resigning as a more decent man would have, he allowed Alex Tourk to resign. In San Francisco, it is unlikely that a politician can resurrect a career by becoming "born again"-- but Newsom did the next best thing-- he checked into a sobriety program.

Despite rumblings from the vox populi that Newsom is as nasty a person among his closest aquaintances as a reasonable person could surmise from his worst public actions-- it would be wiser to assume that he is just human like all the rest of us-- no different except perhaps for all the bags of money that help prop him up.

Rather than prognosticate who should be mayor-- those who really care about Newsom, the human being and not the image, should better spend their time explaining why Gavin's own life could take a better turn if he were NOT mayor.

As for making any private or public amends by keeping his office-- forget it-- he cannot catch up to his own best public reputation on behalf of marriage-- when once he, with his private actions, attacked the sanctity of a marriage.

That is the tragic crux of why Newsom deserves a decent challenger and should lose-- saying nothing of the actual state of the city which is becoming less charming and more botoxed (betoxed?) by ever more competitive and clueless marketers and consultants with each passing day.
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