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<P><B>This is about to break wide open. Something's got to give. A great deal of accurate information has been organised on the internet. Start, for example, here: - Democratic Underground - here: - freepress.org - or here: - truthout.org - or here: <a href="">- stolenelection.org - or here: - redefeatbush.org -.</B>
<br>(Rebuild the links below if your email program cuts them short them.) - Edited on Sat Dec-25-04.
</P>
RECOUNT FRAUD = ELECTION FRAUD: KERRY PREPARING GROUNDS TO UNCONCEDE, AS TRIAD VOTE CRIMES DETAILEDElection Challenge likely on Jan 6th |
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To: The Honorable Senator ...............From: Dr. Garth Eldritch (email address supplied) Dear Senator .............., I am a registered Republican and I am frightened of this administration. I am writing this to let you know how millions of thoughtful Americans and I feel about what is happening to our beloved country. We have observed the insidious and deliberate overthrow of Democracy by this administration, the media, and their supporters. The media, under constant scrutiny and relentless criticism for taking a ‘Liberal’ bias, has purged itself of anything remotely resembling balance over the course of the last decade. The censure and subsequent censorship of prestigious media fixtures such as Helen Thomas and Dan Rather are indicative of this trend. The machinations by which they have been marginalized have been incessantly grinding away at the vestiges of real journalism that was once a hallmark of our great nation. Now, owned almost entirely by right-wing supporters, the corporate media has ensured that any real news outlet will rarely present a story that casts the administration in an unfavorable light. I have heard rare mention of the crime against the American people by conservative columnist Robert Novak who exposed an undercover CIA operative, but plenty of news about Dan Rather for using questionable documents whose content may have been legitimate. I am saddened that I hear more ‘real’ news on comedy shows than from any major news outlet. The Help America Vote Act has ‘helped’ put easily hacked, un-auditable, electronic voting machines made by supporters of the administration all over this country… with many more to come. Representative John Conyers of the House Judiciary Committee has held hearings and recorded testimony whose nature is so controversial that it should shake our democracy to its very foundations – and yet I’ve seen NOTHING of these hearings on any news channel other than C-SPAN. Most people do not watch C-SPAN because it is not sensationalized enough to keep their interest. None of the major networks will air this astounding evidence of fraud. I am left only to speculate on why. If you have not reviewed this testimony, I cannot urge strongly enough that you do so. The allegations of fraud have only been written off either by those who support this administration, or those who have not studied even five percent of these allegations. It would seem that the fear of becoming an alarmist has overridden the will to investigate and ameliorate our election system. The very real possibility here is that our Democracy has been hijacked by Neo-Conservatives whose agenda may be in dire conflict with the security of the American People. The psychology of those who would do nothing can be described as willful negligence through logistical prejudice; “They could never get away with something like that because it would be too obvious; therefore – it must not have happened.” It is much more comfortable to convince oneself something is not happening, thereby avoiding the discomfort of both recognition and responsibility. I cringe to think that this type of psychology pervades both our culture and our government. If you have not studied this issue, then we all may become victims of a movement that will strip away the powers, rights, and freedoms of all who might oppose it… especially political opponents. I have familiarized myself with the reserve currency issues and energy market forces that have driven this administration into war. Millions of Americans are aware of these issues as well. Although I understand that many Americans have not the patience and time to educate themselves on these issues – I cannot believe that that is an excuse for a rogue political contingent to lie to us, abridge our rights, go to war under false pretenses, and rig an election to protect their agenda… all at the expense of Democracy. On January 6th, the moment of truth will arrive. When the Electoral College vote is to be certified, a number of Representatives will contest the results from Ohio. In order to overturn that slate of electors, those representatives will need the signature of a US Senator to advance their motion. My apologies, for I am not well versed in procedure. Unless I am mistaken, it will only take one such signature. That one signature will become the most significant stroke in the undoing of what will otherwise become our inexorable slide into a one-party system… and the subsequent and total corruption of a great Democracy. Should none of our most potent elected leaders stand now against this usurping of the Electoral process, there will never come another chance through the governmental process to regain the balance critical to a healthy Democracy. As the power of one party is consolidated, it will be used to strip that of the other. In this case it will be the Democratic Party who is so ravaged. The machines which are manufactured, programmed, and tabulated on by the allies of the Neo-conservatives will proliferate across this nation and cut short the otherwise popular careers of more and more Democrats until they are effectively and permanently neutralized as a political party. If the fear of drawing attention or taking a risk prevents any Senator from taking action by January 6, 2005… then it is quite likely that many Democrats who are the last bastion of balance in Washington DC will face a slow and excruciating descent out of the political arena. While I pray I am wrong, I know that millions of Americans cannot afford such a risk. After January 6th, any aspirations a Democratic candidate might have will be dashed should no one stand against this. Those who remain will be nothing more than proverbial lightning rods to hold a constituency and keep any other party from becoming a contender. None of those who remain will be able to acquire any office of greater consequence for it will have become impossible to legislate fair elections against the majority in power. Should even one Senator stand against this injustice, they will find support among many millions of Americans. At that point, the news media will have no choice but to take notice. Such notice can ONLY shed light on and harm those who have committed fraud, for as the subject is brought to light – the evidence will be as well. There is such damning evidence in support of fraud at this point – if you have not studied it, I again must strongly, vehemently ask that you contact Rep. John Conyers and request information. I will also be obliged to assist in any way I can. Please urge your colleagues to engage in collective action to address this critical issue. What the American People need now is a hero to stand against this descent into what can legitimately be described as Totalitarian rule by one party. The choice, therefore, is to stand for a brilliant assault on this injustice – to lead a charge whose consequence is the preservation of Democracy, or to quietly accept the role of a subordinate until no longer needed. Millions of Americans recognize what is happening to our country and are on their knees praying for just one Senator to stand and fight for us. You will not stand alone. With utmost Sincerity, -Dr. Garth Eldritch |
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EXIT POLL FRAUD: First the Exit Polls were FixedThese are the facts so far (12/24/04): 1)There has been a concerted effort made by the media to hoodwink the general public into believing that exit polls are inaccurate, even though all historical evidence is to the contrary. 2) In the data which was downloaded by Simon and released by SCOOP at 12:20 am on Nov 3, 71,000 out of an anticipated 113,000 were already polled. That's 63% of the total sample. It was a large enough sample for us to assume it accurately represented the voting population. I explain why below. 3 Kerry was leading by 51-48% at 8PM, as most journalists were led to believe. Bush needed to win a very large majority of the 42,000 remaining to be polled to reverse the result - which is exactly what happened. 4) NPR/ Mitofsky has not released the raw data. Why? Could it be because it would confirm a Kerry win? Occam's razor would seem to apply in this case. 5) Cal-tech debunked their own initial polling analysis, after they learned that the data they used was not the data which Simon downloaded, but was in fact "massaged" around midnight. The data was "massaged" (that is an understatement) to supposedly "match" the recorded votes. Think about that for a minute. Polling data was manipulated because it did not agree with the votes. Does that make sense to you? 5) The fact that 2004 exit polling deviated far from the actual votes has never been explained. Let us use a little bit of statistics and some common sense here. Let's stipulate that exit polls have proven to be much more accurate than pre-election polls. That is a fact. 6) People may not know at the time they are polled prior to an election who they WILL vote for (they may not even vote), but they sure know who they HAVE voted for after the fact. 7) The Margin of Error (MOE) calculated below for various sample sizes are actually conservative since they are based on standard pre-election polling. 8) There were 71,000 respondents polled by 8PM on Nov 2. 9) Here is the MOE calculated for N respondents. The formula is very simple. The MOE= 1/sqrt(N), where N is the sample size. The MOE is equal to 0.38% for the initial 71,000 poll sample (63% of the total). It is equal 0.30% for the full 113,000 polled. That's an insignificant difference. 10) The average Gore 2000 exit poll deviation was -0.12%, well within the 0.30% MOE.The average Kerry deviation was -1.8%, way beyond the 0.38% MOE.
The MOE= 1/sqrt(N), where N is the sample size.
N Sqrt(N) MOE
THE 71,000 POLLED(63% OF THE TOTAL) IS AN OVERWHELMING SAMPLE SIZE. I WOULD NOT EXPECT THE REMAINING 42,000 TO DEVIATE FROM THE RESULTS BY ANYTHING MORE THAN A VERY SLIGHT AMOUNT.
THAT IS THE LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS.
YOU CAN SEE THE LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS CLEARLY TAKE EFFECT IN THE CALCULATED MOE, WHICH SHRINKS AS THE SAMPLE SIZE INCREASES. THE MOE DROPS QUICKLY AS THE SAMPLE SIZE INCREASES FROM 1,000 TO 5,000, BUT THE MOE CONVERGES MORE AND MORE SLOWLY TO 0.38% AS WE GET TO 71,000 AND TO 0.30% FOR 113,000. VERY LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCURACY IS OBTAINED BY INCREASING THE SAMPLE SIZE FROM 71,000 TO 113,000. WITH 71,000 POLLED, WE HAVE ALREADY CONVERGED ON THE POPULATION MEAN WITH ACCURACY TO WELL WITHIN ONE PERCENT. THE POPULATION MEAN CAN BE EXPECTED TO FALL WITHIN THE MOE 95% OF THE TIME. WE HAVE ALREADY THE POINT OF NO RETURN AS FAR AS THE MARGIN OF ERROR IS CONCERNED. ONCE WE HIT 71,000, ANY ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN THE POLLING SAMPLE SIZE BECOMES A MOOT POINT - THE LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS HAS ALREADY TAKEN EFFECT.
I have made a few minor mistakes in the initial probability calculations, but they were not that far off and were corrected as soon as I found them. No one has yet disputed the calculation model itself (Binomial distribution). Naysayers are only left to question the accuracy of exit polling. I have shown why 71,000 is an extremely large sample, based on a simple MOE calculation. An analysis of 2000 exit poll data, compared to that of 2004, effectively renders the last ditch argument of the naysayers that exit polls are not accurate null and void. We now have clear circumstantial evidence that the election has been massively tainted. Finally, let me repeat what I have posted many times: For 16 out of 51 states to deviate from the exit polls to the vote tallies beyond the MOE in favor of Bush (and none to Kerry), the odds of this occurring due to chance is ************** ONE out of 13.5 TRILLION ***************** Have a Merry Christmas and a Happy Hannukah. God Bless America. |
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