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ONE BILLION TO BE INFECTED WITH SARS WITHIN 60 WEEKS
Based on a fatality of rate of 3%-5%, the SARS virus can be expected to kill 30 million to 50 million people during the next 60 weeks.
SARS BUG DEADLIER THAN AIDS SAYS DOC
Apr 24 2003
Daily Record
A LEADING doctor has warned the SARS virus could be more devastating than AIDS.
Dr Patrick Dickson called on world governments to act to stamp out the threat from the deadly respiratory illness.
Dr Dixon, one of Europe's experts on predicting global trends, said it could be more dangerous than AIDS because of its ability to spread quickly.
He said: "It is worth remembering that AIDS has infected 80 million people so far over 15 to 20 years.
"AIDS spreads slowly so we can track it and plan for it. We have effective anti- viral drugs which can prolong life.
"But this is different, we don't have the time. This is a far more serious epidemic potentially than AIDS."
Dr Dixon said his main concern was rural, isolated areas in China and around the world.
He added: "In a country like India, which is chaotic with minimum health provision, the potential for spreading the virus is huge."
Dr Dixon, a fellow at the Centre for Management Development at London Business School, said if current trends continued, there could be a billion cases within 60 weeks.
He has called on world leaders to address the problem as a matter of "national security".
The Government yesterday advised Britons not to travel to Toronto, Hong Kong and the Chinese provinces of Guangdong, Beijing and Shanxi because of SARS.
Toronto is the first location outside Asia added to the list.
http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/page.cfm?objectid=12883018&method=full&siteid=89488&headline=SARS%20BUG%20DEADLIER%20THAN%20AIDS%20SAYS%20DOC
Apr 24 2003
Daily Record
A LEADING doctor has warned the SARS virus could be more devastating than AIDS.
Dr Patrick Dickson called on world governments to act to stamp out the threat from the deadly respiratory illness.
Dr Dixon, one of Europe's experts on predicting global trends, said it could be more dangerous than AIDS because of its ability to spread quickly.
He said: "It is worth remembering that AIDS has infected 80 million people so far over 15 to 20 years.
"AIDS spreads slowly so we can track it and plan for it. We have effective anti- viral drugs which can prolong life.
"But this is different, we don't have the time. This is a far more serious epidemic potentially than AIDS."
Dr Dixon said his main concern was rural, isolated areas in China and around the world.
He added: "In a country like India, which is chaotic with minimum health provision, the potential for spreading the virus is huge."
Dr Dixon, a fellow at the Centre for Management Development at London Business School, said if current trends continued, there could be a billion cases within 60 weeks.
He has called on world leaders to address the problem as a matter of "national security".
The Government yesterday advised Britons not to travel to Toronto, Hong Kong and the Chinese provinces of Guangdong, Beijing and Shanxi because of SARS.
Toronto is the first location outside Asia added to the list.
http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/page.cfm?objectid=12883018&method=full&siteid=89488&headline=SARS%20BUG%20DEADLIER%20THAN%20AIDS%20SAYS%20DOC
For more information:
http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/page.cfm...
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The influenza virus does this on a relatively regular basis but the last seriously deadly pandemic was the 1919 "Spanish Flu" pandemic. Actually of course, probably form China because that's where conditions are "best" for flu strain "recombination".
As an opposite example, although "polio" was known from ancient times, it did not seem very contagoius and there were only scattered cases, no big epidemics, until the 20th century.
SARS isn't a new virus, you've probably all had "colds" caused by human coronavirus. Always been extremely contagious, just not very serious an ailment. Well THIS is a deadly strain.
http://www.cbc.ca/stories/2003/04/25/sars_contain030425
Think about it.