Charnas Hurricane Scale – VIII / 2050 & X / 2063

The matter is logically simple and even obvious. It is shocking that so far (hurricane "Helene" 2024) this issue has not been presented in the development of global warming in the way described below. The temperature at which hurricanes and typhoons begin to be recognized is approximately 27 *C. The water on the ocean surface may be even 5 *C warmer. That is: 27, 28, 29, 30, 31 *C (20th century), and currently even 32 *C (21st century). This fits in statistical distribution the five-point Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale (SSHWS): above 27 *C = Category I, 28 = II, 29 = III, 30 = IV, 31 = V, etc. . . There is also talk of a sixth category - when ocean waters are already nearly 1.5 *C warmer than a hundred years ago.

Assuming that from Categories I to II of hurricane strength, the wind speed increases by 25%, and then by each category it increases by 17%, an unlimited upward extension of the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale can be constructed. Each time with a new category based on a one-degree increase in maximum ocean temperature. Most of the strongest hurricanes should fall within such temperature ranges.

Each time there will be also increase by approximately 37% of wind energy. Energy is speed squared. It is now easy to realize that the temperature of the world ocean waters will most likely reach at least 3 *C by 2050 and 5 *C by 2070 due to global warming.

Now put the Fujita-Pearson tornado intensity scale (FP-scale) on it. It turns out that the strongest hurricanes - often with a diameter of 1,000 km, such as the island of Cuba - will have in 2050 and 2070 the wind power of high and highest category tornadoes. There is also talk of an enhanced Fujita scale. The subsequent components of the increase in wind energy of hurricanes when passing through five new categories give a fivefold value for Category X. Think of the five times stronger hurricane "Katrina" over New Orleans (August 2005). It's like a thermonuclear bomb dropped on the entire region of the United States. It's terrifying!