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Indybay Feature

Election Predictions: A Landslide For the “Change We Need”

by Randy Shaw via Beyond Chron
Monday, November 3, 2008 : On November 20, 2006 I wrote an article, “Barack Obama’s Moment is 2008,” that urged Obama to enter the presidential race, since his candidacy “would galvanize young people and many others toward getting involved in the political process.” I felt that Obama would defeat Hillary Clinton to win the Democratic nomination, and never doubted he would win a sweeping victory over John McCain.
Today, even longtime skeptics acknowledge that Barack Obama is headed for the White House. For the first time since 1944 (FDR’s last victory), the progressive movement will elect one of its own to the presidency, and Election Night 2008 will be an evening that activists will never forget. Here are my predictions for the swing states in the presidential race, the key U.S. Senate contests, and California state initiatives.

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§Final 24 Hours Will Make or Break Elections …
by Randy Shaw via Beyond Chron
Monday, November 3, 2008 : Tomorrow is Election Day, and the only suspense in the presidential election is whether Barack Obama only gets about 300 electoral votes—or surpasses 350. But unlike 1996, when Bill Clinton’s presumed victory over Bob Dole suppressed Democratic turnout and hurt progressive causes, the base is excited to vote for Obama—which will pay dividends down the ballot.

At this point, the three unsettled questions that hinge on voter turnout are: (a) will California stand up for marriage equality by defeating Proposition 8?, (b) will Democrats win U.S. Senate seats in Georgia and Minnesota to avenge heartbreaking losses from six years ago?, and (c) will San Francisco progressives keep the Board of Supervisors—providing a check on Mayor Newsom’s power? If you care passionately about these issues, your work today and tomorrow may have a decisive impact. While it’s true that “every vote counts,” remember that your single vote will not swing an election—but your time talking to hundreds of people and reminding them to vote will.

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Comments (Hide Comments)
by Paul Burton
If Obama was serious about 'change' he would have already brought it as a Senator. But he hasn't introduced any legislation to bring about 'change we can believe in.'

On the other hand, Ralph Nader, as a private individual, has a far greater record of accomplishment than Obama, McPain, and Joe The Banker Biden combined.

Cynthia McKinney proposed more progressive change as a member of congress than Obama.

Obama's change is an illusion; he will be more beholden to corporate interests (nuclear power, bankers, etc) who fund him than the millions who donated $10 to his campaign. Power concedes nothing without a demand, and once Obama is in power, the people will need to remind him of that fact by demanding real change, real solutions. After the first 100 days of disappointment and betrayal, many will regret that they believed in the fairy tale that a member of the corrupt and undemocratic duopoly could be an agent of change.
by S.F. Activist
Typical delusional hyperbole from poverty pimp, Randy Shaw, who's been doing this since his days as vice-mayor
under "Red Art" Agnos.

Obama has nothing to offer the working class of the United States. The Manchurian Obama has no solutions to reverse
the massive foreclosure rate, the collapsing dollar, or perpetual imperialist wars. You don't bite the hand that feeds
you; in Obama's case, Wall Street and the defense contractors.

We're not all fools, Randy.
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