Is Obamamania Putting Gay Marriage at Risk?

by Randy Shaw via Beyond Chron

Tue, Oct 14, 2008 7:28AM

Tuesday, October 14, 2008 : “Red Alert” shouts the banner headline in the current Bay Area Reporter, reflecting a recent poll showing California’s Proposition 8 moving from far behind to ahead. Some attribute this shift to the Mormon Church’s massive funding of a Yes on 8 TV advertising blitz, which featured Gavin Newsom cheering gay marriage.

But others are wondering if so many California activists are focused on Obama that there is less energy and money left to defeat Prop 8. Given how many activists are spending weekends either in Nevada or calling Florida for Obama, the perception that this could result in Prop 8’s passage is understandable. But perception is not reality, and Prop 8 is unlikely to win. Voter fixation on the presidential race and economic crisis has left many to ignore state and local propositions, so that an early October poll is equivalent to September numbers in a normal year. Prop 8 still has not reached the 50% mark that initiatives need to win, and so long as activists do not get complacent, the measure will lose handily.

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§Obama voters won't vote Yes on 8

by TBL

Tue, Oct 14, 2008 3:59PM

The more California
Obama voters who
ACTUALLY vote in Nov.,
the better the chance
of defeating Prop 8.

They're unlikely to vote Yes on 8;
even if they don't bother to vote No.

With young
and newly-registered
Obama voters,
the biggest question is --

Will they vote at all???

....

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